Daily Market Outlook, 04 October, 2022

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Wall Street’s three major indices rallied to close over 2 percent on Monday as US Treasury yields tumbled on weaker-than-expected manufacturing data, increasing the appeal of stocks at the start of the year’s final quarter.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 765.38 points to 29,490.89, the S&P 500 gain 92.81 points to 3,678.43 and the Nasdaq Composite add 239.82 points to 10,815.43.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is ascend 1.53% to 661.26 levels. Australian index higher 3.75% to 6,699.30. Japanese Nikkei Index ascend 2.96% to 26,992.21.

European stocks were positive on Tuesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index rose 2.41% to 3,422.66, Germany’s DAX ascend 1.97% to 12,447.41, and France’s CAC up 2.48% to 5,937.81, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 surged 1.28% to 6,997.40.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell as demand for safe assets ascend again, today 10-year bond yields a negative 2.17% to 3.5720.

Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday as expectations that OPEC+ may agree to a large cut in crude output when it meets on Wednesday offset concerns about the global economy.

Spot Brent crude oil add 0.19% to $89.03 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is up 0.09% to $83.69 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is advance 0.88% to 1,717.85 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex 

The U.S. dollar retreated in early European trading Tuesday with risk sentiment on the rise, while sterling retained its recent gains after the U.K. government’s policy U-turn.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which is fell 0.49% to 111.150.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is up 0.51% today. This left the pair trading around $0.98740.

The Japanese yen was positive against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as the stock up. Today USD/JPY is ascend 0.11% to 144.690 level.

Another commodity-related currency positive against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD surge 0.12% to 0.65240, and NZD/USD add 0.40 to 0.57440 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 0.98520

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot level with targets at 0.99400 & 1.00020 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside to 0.97760 & 0.97130.

Comment: RSI above 50 levels and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Support level at 1.13140

Our pivot point is at 1.13140

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.15120 & 1.16370 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.11660 & 1.10390.

Comment:  RSI above 50 levels and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 144.720

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below pivot with the target at 144.340 and 144.100 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of the pivot would call for 145.040 and 145.270.

Comment: MACD is negative territory and Pairs below its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 0.65240

Preferable Price Action: Buy Positions above pivot with targets at 0.65920 & 0.66360 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside with 0.64680 & 0.64210 as targets.

Comment: RSI above 50 levels and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Major trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 83.16

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy oil with 85.10 & 86.69 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 81.18 and 79.83 in extension.

Comment: MACD is in the positive territory and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Support level at 1702.60

Our pivot point is 1702.60

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1725.00 and 1741.00

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives a downside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1680.00 and 1663.40.

Comment: MACD is positive territory and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 29,69800

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 30,033.00 & 30,248.00.

Alternative Price Action: Below 29,698.00 looks for further downside to 29,438.00 & 29,233.00.

Comment: RSI above 50 levels and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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