Daily Market Outlook, 28 October, 2020

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Stocks on Wall Street closed little changed on Tuesday, with the Dow and S&P 500 slipping on disappointing earnings and little hope for a U.S. coronavirus stimulus before Election Day, though the Nasdaq rose ahead of big technology company results.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 222.19 points (0.80%) to 27,463.19 and the S&P 500 lost 10.29 points (0.30%) to 3,390.68. The Nasdaq Composite added 72.41 points (0.64%) to 11,431.35.

Asian markets looked set for another weaker open on Wednesday as worries about a surge in coronavirus cases and dwindling hopes for a U.S. stimulus package kept investors gloomy.

European stocks were lower on Wednesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 1.12% to 3,070.60, Germany’s DAX down 0.93% to 12,063.57 and France’s CAC lost 1.77% to 4,730.66 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 1.09% to 5,728.99.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield down 2.62% to 0.758.

Oil prices slid about 2% on Wednesday, giving up most of the previous day’s gains, as a surge in U.S. crude stocks and growing coronavirus infections in the United States and Europe fanned fears of a supply glut in oil and weaker fuel demand.

Spot Brent crude Oil down 2.33% to $40.63 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 3.10% to $38.39 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 0.22% lower to 1907.80 dollar per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar was up on Wednesday in Asia session, but investors are avoiding big moves and risks ahead of the U.S. presidential election on Nov. 3. In Europe, reports that France could reintroduce a national lockdown to curb the spread of COVID-19 sent the Euro tumbling against the dollar.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, higher 0.22% to 93.108.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair lower by 0.17% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.17760.

The Japanese rose against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as stock pushes lower. Today US/JPY down 0.20% to 104.200 level.

Other commodity related currency mixed against U.S dollar, AUD/USD gained 0.20% to 0.71430 and NZD/USD flat to 0.67070.


EUR/USD Intraday:  Trend downside

Our pivot point is at 1.17970

Preferable Price Action: Take Short positions below level with targets at 1.17680 & 1.17480 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside at 1.18270 & 1.18470.

Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Support at 1.30320

Our pivot point is at 1.30320

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 1.30750 & 1.30950 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.29890 & 1.29690.

Comment: Price above 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 104.390

Preferable Price Action: Short position below pivot with the target at 104.080 and 103.930 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of pivot would call for 104.700 and 104.850.

Comment: price below 20MA & 55MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday:  Break resistance level

Our pivot point is at 0.71390

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 0.71700 & 0.71900 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.71070 & 0.70870 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Resistance at 39.25

Our pivot point is at 39.25

Preferable Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 38.40 and 38.00 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 40.05 & 40.45 as targets.

Comment: Crude below Its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Resistance at 1910.50

Our pivot point is at 1910.50

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1900.10 & 1894.20 level.

Alternative Price Action: If price gives upside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1920.50 and 1926.20.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price below its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend on downside

Our pivot point is at 27,500.00

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot with targets at 27,150.00 & 26,950.00 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above 27,500.00 looks for further upside to 27,860.00 & 28,060.00.

Comment: Price below its 20MA & 55MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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