Daily Market Outlook, 24 May, 2024

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Most Asian currencies fell on Friday and were nursing steep losses against the dollar as hawkish signals on inflation and interest rates saw traders further price out expectations for rate cuts in 2024.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 605.78 points to 39,065.26, the S&P 500 loos 0.74% to 5,267.84 and the Nasdaq Composite drop 65.51 points to 16,736.03.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is below 0.82% to 697.01 levels. The Australian index was low by 1.08% to 7,727.60. Japanese Nikkei Index decrease 1.27% today.

European stocks were negative on Friday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index decrease 0.41% to 5,017.05, Germany’s DAX descend 0.39% to 18,614.35, and France’s CAC lower 0.22% to 8,084.42 and  U.K.’s FTSE 100 loss 0.41% to 8,305.03.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose as demand for safe assets slipped again, today 10-year bond yields decrease 0.16% to 4.4700.

Oil prices were stable on Friday as investors considered the latest comments from the U.S. Federal Reserve on interest rates amid sticky inflation, while signs of firming seasonal U.S. fuel demand lent support.

Spot Brent crude oil descend 0.44% to $81.00 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is down 0.43% to $76.54 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is increase 0.15% to 2,340.75 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Friday, but was still on course for its largest weekly rise in over a month on fading expectations of early Federal Reserve rate cuts. 

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which descend 0.6% to 104.865.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is increase 0.14% today. This left the pair trading around $1.08290.

The Japanese yen was positive against the U.S. dollar on Friday. Today USD/JPY is higher 0.04% to the 157.00 level.

Another commodity-related currency positive against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD surged 0.11% to 0.66140, and NZD/USD ascend 0.16% to 0.61070 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.08110

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot level with targets at 1.08320 & 1.08490 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Sell pivot looks for a further downside to 1.07900 & 1.07730.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and pairs are above its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Support level at 1.26960

Our pivot point is at 1.26960

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.27240 & 1.27420 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.26680 & 1.26490.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and pairs are above its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: In consolidation state at 156.950 

Our pivot point is at 156.950

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above pivot with the target at 157.470 and 157.840 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of the pivot would call for 156.430 and 156.050.

Comment: MACD is at 50 levels and pairs above its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 0.66130

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 0.65840 & 0.65640 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside with 0.66420 & 0.66620 as targets.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels and pairs below its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday:  Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 77.15

Preferable Price Action: Below pivot sell oil with 75.88 & 75.00 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 78.40 and 79.18 in extension.

Comment: MACD is negative territory and pairs below its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 2334.40

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 2362.90 and 2385.50.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an downside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 2305.10 and 2284.90.

Comment: MACD is above 50 levels and pairs above its 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Major trend on the downside

Our pivot point is 39,207.60

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below the pivot with targets at 38,889.70 & 38,673.20.

Alternative Price Action: Above 39,207.60 looks for further upside to 39,528.90 & 39,749.00.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels and pairs below its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced