Daily Market Outlook, 23 December, 2022

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Wall Street’s major averages closed lower on Thursday with technology-heavy Nasdaq’s 2 percent drop leading losses as investors worried that data showing a resilient economy would lead the US Federal Reserve to keep hiking interest rates for longer than feared.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 348.99 points to 33,027.49, the S&P 500 lose 1.45% to 3,822.39 and the Nasdaq Composite subtract 233.25 points to 10,476.12.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is decline 1.08% to 617.79 levels. The Australian index was lower by 0.63% to 7,107.70. Japanese Nikkei Index lose 1.03% today.

European stocks were negative on Friday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 1.26% to 3,823.29, Germany’s DAX lose 1.30% to 13,914.07, and France’s CAC decline 0.95% to 6,517.97, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 subtract 0.37% to 7,469.28.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell as demand for safe assets ascend again, today 10-year bond yields are positive 0.45% to 3.687.

Oil fell by around $1 a barrel on Thursday in volatile trade as the impact of tighter US crude stocks due to a winter storm in the United States was outweighed by fears that Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and China’s rising Covid-19 cases would dent demand.

Spot Brent crude oil rose 1.58% to $82.26 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is up 1.07% to $78.32 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is advance 0.49% to 1,804.10 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex 

European stock markets are expected to open higher Friday in thin holiday-affected volumes ahead of the release of more regional growth, inflation, and confidence data.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which surge 0.13% to 103.993.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is up 0.21% today. This left the pair trading around $1.0615.

The Japanese yen was positive against the U.S. dollar on Friday. Today USD/JPY is ascend 0.19% to the 132.57 level.

Another commodity-related currency positive against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD rose 0.38% to 0.6691, and NZD/USD gain 0.71% to 0.6281 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.06040

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.06190 & 1.06300 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside to 1.05900 & 1.05790.

Comment: RSI above 50 levels and Pairs above 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Resistance level at the 1.20560

Our pivot point is at 1.20560.

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.20170 & 1.19850 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.20940 & 1.21260.

Comment:  RSI is below 50 levels and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Major trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 132.570

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above pivot with the target at 133.180 and 133.670 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of the pivot would call for 131.930 and 131.410.

Comment: MACD is positive territory and Pairs above 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Support level at the 0.66890

Our pivot point is at 0.66890

Preferable Price Action: Buy Positions above pivot with targets at 0.67110 & 0.67270 in extension.

Alternative Price Action:  Below pivot looks for a further downside with 0.66680 & 0.66520 as targets.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and pairs above 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend on the downside 

Our pivot point is at 78.49.

Preferable Price Action: Below pivots sell oil with 77.35 & 76.50 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Buy crude up pivot with targets at 79.60 and 80.44 in extension.

Comment: MACD is negative territory and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday:  In a consolidation zone

Our pivot point is 1798.70

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1790.50 and 1783.90

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1806.90 and 1813.30.

Comment: MACD is at 50 level and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 33,051.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions up the pivot with targets at 33,214.00 & 33,350.00.

Alternative Price Action: Below 33,051.00 looks for further downside to 32,893.00 & 32,755.00.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and Pairs above 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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