Daily Market Outlook, 15 June, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The S&P 500 and the Dow eased on June 14, a day after the S&P 500 hit a record closing high, as investors awaited cues from the Federal Reserve’s meeting this week on the central bank’s outlook on inflation and the future of bond purchases.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 85.85 points (0.25%) to 34,393.75, the S&P 500 gained 7.71 points (0.18%) to 4,255.15 and the Nasdaq Composite added 104.72 points (0.74%) to 14,174.14.

Asian shares had a mixed day on Tuesday and the dollar sat near multi-week highs ahead of a much-anticipated Federal Reserve policy meeting, which investors are watching for hints of any change to the U.S. monetary policy outlook.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan lost 0.05% to 890.97 levels. Australian index rose 0.92% to 7,379.50. Japanese Nikkei traded advance 0.96% to 29,441.30.

European stocks were higher on Tuesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index gained 0.57% to 4,155.95, Germany’s DAX up 0.64% to 15,776.60, and France’s CAC gained 0.44% 6,645.86, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 advance 0.48% to 7,181.65.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose as demand for safe risk grows again, today 10-year bond yields down 1.37% to 1.480.

Oil prices rose on Tuesday, with Brent gaining for a fourth consecutive session, as the prospect of extra supply coming to the market soon from Iran faded with talks dragging on over the United States rejoining a nuclear agreement with Tehran.

Spot Brent crude oil gained 0.32% to $73.09 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude higher 0.28% to $71.08 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 0.15% higher to 1860.60 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar slipped marginally lower in early European trade Tuesday, but just off multi-week highs ahead of the latest two-day meeting of the Federal Reserve.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, down 0.17% to 90.338.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that higher 0.22% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.21430.

The Japanese yen lost against the U.S. dollar on Monday as the stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY flat to 110.040 level.

Another commodity-related currency mixed against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD down 0.10% to 0.77020, and NZD/USD gained 0.12% to 0.71460.


EUR/USD Intraday: Support at 1.21300

Our pivot point is at 1.21300

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.21699 & 1.21914 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside to 1.21710 & 1.22040.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI at oversold levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Support at 1.41037

Our pivot point is at 1.41037

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.41486 & 1.41730 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.40621 & 1.40398.

Comment: Price above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 109.901

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above pivot with the target at 110.203 and 110.356 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 109.625 and 109.463.

Comment: price above its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Resistance at 0.77191

Our pivot point is at 0.77191

Preferable Price Action: Sell Positions below pivot with targets at 0.76887 & 0.76712 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside with 0.77524 & 0.77714 as targets.

Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI at oversold levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Major support at 70.47

Our pivot point is at 70.47

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 71.41 & 72.06 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 69.57 and 69.01 in extension.

Comment: Crude is below its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in the positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Resistance at 1871.14

Our pivot point is 1871.14

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1855.81 & 1847.26

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1855.81 and 1947.26.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price below its 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend may change to the upside

Our pivot point is 34,382.00

Preferable Price Action: Take Buy positions above pivot with targets at 34,515.00 & 34,603.00.

Alternative Price Action: Above 34,382.00 looks for further downside to 34,246.00 & 34,167.00.

Comment: Price above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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