Daily Market Outlook, 12 June, 2024

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The dollar hit a four-week high on Wednesday, ahead of a highly anticipated inflation report that is likely to influence the timing of the first rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve, while the euro was pressured by political uncertainty in the European Union.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 120.62 points to 38,747.42, the S&P 500 gain 0.27% to 5,375.32 and the Nasdaq Composite ascend 151.32 points to 17,343.84.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is below 0.37% to 687.60 levels. The Australian index was lower by 0.51% to 7,715.50. Japanese Nikkei Index decrease 0.60% today.

European stocks were positive on Wednesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index increase 1.95% to 4,990.45, Germany’s DAX  ascend 0.56% to 4,990.45, and France’s CAC higher 0.42% to 7,821.76 and  U.K.’s FTSE 100 gain 0.71% to 8,205.07.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose as demand for safe assets slipped again, today 10-year bond yields decrease 0.05% to 4.4010.

Oil prices rose in Asian trade on Wednesday, extending gains after industry data showed U.S. inventories shrank more than expected in the past week.

Spot Brent crude oil up 0.78% to $82.56 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is up 0.94% to $78.67 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is increase 0.18% to 2,330.95 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar retreated Tuesday, falling back from a one-month high, as yields fell back ahead of key U.S. inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve meeting. 

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which descend 0.38% to 104.795.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is increase 0.09% today. This left the pair trading around $1.07490.

The Japanese yen was positive against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday. Today USD/JPY is trades pair that increases 0.15% to the 157.300 level.

Another commodity-related currency mixed against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD slipped 0.11% to 0.66170 , and NZD/USD ascend 0.08% to 0.61450 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1.07610

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot level with targets at 1.07090 & 1.06650 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Buy pivot looks for a further upside to 1.08140 & 1.08600.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels and pairs are below its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

 


GBP/USD Intraday: Resistance level at 1.27480

Our pivot point is at 1.27480

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.27220 & 1.26970 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.27720 & 1.27980.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 157.150

Preferable Price Action:  Buy position above pivot with the target at 157.820 and 158.380 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of the pivot would call for 156.490 and 155.980.

Comment: MACD is above 50 levels and pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 0.66050

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 0.66310 & 0.66540 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot a further downside with 0.65770 & 0.65530 as targets.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and pairs above its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday:  Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 77.77

Preferable Price Action: Above pivot buy oil with 79.01 & 79.97 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 76.50 and 75.50 in extension.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and Pairs above its 55MA & 22MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: In a consolidation zone

Our pivot point is 2305.01

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 2339.04 and 2366.63.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an downside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 2268.05 and 2240.45.

Comment: MACD is at 50 levels and Pairs above its 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Support level at 38,749.90

Our pivot point is 38,749.90

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above the pivot with targets at 38,872.60 & 38,980.10.

Alternative Price Action: Below 38,809.80 looks for further downside to 38,625.30 & 38,511.10.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced