Daily Market Outlook, 12 February, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

U.S. stocks rose more than 1% on Thursday and the S&P500 and Nasdaq posted record closing highs after another batch of upbeat earnings and data suggesting the labor market may be stabilizing.

Global shares closed in on their record peak on Friday, with Asian shares taking their lead from Wall Street, as progress in vaccine distribution prompted bets on further normalization in the global economy and earnings recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 332.26 point (1.08%) to 31,055.86, the S&P 500 gained 41.57 points (1.09%) to 3,871.74 and the Nasdaq Composite added 167.20 points (1.23%) to 13,777.74.

Asian futures were little changed in early trading after progress in vaccine distribution and a large U.S. stimulus program sent two major Wall Street indexes to record closing highs.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.33% to 916.60 levels. Australian index advances 1.54% to 6,840.50. Japanese Nikkei traded 1.54% higher to 28,779.19.

European stocks were advance on Friday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index gained 0.61% to 3,664.80, Germany’s DAX rose 0.26% to 14,097.35 and France’s CAC higher 1.05% to 5,667.94 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 advance 0.10% to 6,512.74.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield gained flat to 1.139.

Oil prices climbed on Friday to their highest levels in a year, extending a run of strong gains on signs of economic growth in the United States and a continued commitment by producers to hold back crude supply.

Spot Brent crude Oil up 1.00% to $59.59 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude advance 1.26% to $56.94 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 0.86% higher to 1806.40 dollar per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar hit two-month highs Thursday, but its revival is nothing more than “noise” and will eventually fade as U.S. Treasury yields are set to run out of steam, Citi said.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, lower 0.16% to 91.407.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair rose 0.14% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.19790.

The Japanese yen gained against the U.S. dollar on Friday as stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY down 0.10% to 105.450 level.

Other commodity related currency higher against U.S dollar, AUD/USD gained 0.26% to 0.76190 and NZD/USD jumped 0.13% to 0.71630.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1.21300

Preferable Price Action: Take short positions below pivot level with targets at 1.20900 & 1.20700 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside at 1.21700 & 1.21900.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Trend downside

Our pivot point is at 1.38100

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.37570 & 1.37300 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.38640 & 1.38920.

Comment: Price above its 55MA &20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Support at 104.820 

Our pivot point is at 104.820

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above with the target at 105.230 and 105.450 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 104.410 and 104.180.

Comment: price below 20MA & 55MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday:  Trend downside

Our pivot point is at 0.77500

Preferable Price Action: Sell Positions below pivot with targets at 0.77000 & 0.76750 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside with 0.78000 & 0.78250 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA an RSI near 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Bias on the Upside

Our pivot point is at 57.20

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 57.90 & 58.40 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 56.55 and 56.05 in extension.

Comment: Crude above its 20MA & 55MA  and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday:  Resistance at 1825.40

Our pivot point is at 1825.40

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1810.00 & 1802.00.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives a upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1840.60 and 1849.00.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above 55MA & 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday:  Support at 31,300.00

Our pivot point is 31,300.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 31,450.00 & 31,550.00 extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below 31,300.00 looks for further downside to 31,150.00 & 31,050.00.

Comment: Price above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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