Daily Market Outlook, 10 November, 2020

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The S&P 500 and the Dow rallied sharply but closed shy of their records on Monday as investors bet that a full economic reopening was finally in sight following the first positive data from a late-stage COVID-19 vaccine trial.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 834 points (2.95%) to 29,157.90 in its biggest one-day percentage gain in last 4 month. The S&P 500 advance 41.10 points (1.17%) to 3,550.5 and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 181.45 points (1.53%) to 11,713.78.

Global stocks and oil jumped and Treasuries sold off on Monday as progress in the development of a coronavirus vaccine lifted investor confidence in a world economic recovery.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan dropped 0.20% to 780.39 levels. Australian index gained 1.75% to 6,298.80. Japanese market soared 2.12% to 24,839.84.

European stocks were jumped on Monday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index soared 6.36% to 3,407.91, Germany’s DAX rose 4.94% to 13,095.97 and France’s CAC gained 7.57% to 5,336.32 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 up 4.67% to 6,186.29.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield fell 2.52% to 0.934.

U.S. oil prices fell in early trade on Tuesday as concerns over demand in the near term in coronavirus-hit economies in Europe and the United States returned to haunt the market after an overnight surge on progress towards a COVID-19 vaccine.

Spot Brent crude Oil advance 0.66% to $42.67 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.32% to $40.42 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 1.66% higher to 1885.20 dollar per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar was down on Tuesday morning in Asia over Monday’s news that a COVID-19 vaccine could become available relatively soon and raising optimism over the global economic recovery.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, down 0.06% to 92.657.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair rose 0.18% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.18370.

The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as stock pushes lower. Today US/JPY fell 0.30% to 105.050 level.

Other commodity-related currency higher against U.S dollar, AUD/USD gained 0.10% to 0.72930 and NZD/USD advance 0.29% to 0.68370.


EUR/USD Intraday:  Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.18560

Preferable Price Action: Take short positions above pivot level with targets at 1.19080 & 1.19340 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside at 1.18020 & 1.17750.

Comment: Pair below its 55MA and RSI at 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Break resistance levels

Our pivot point is at 1.31640

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 1.32100 & 1.32400 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.31170 & 1.30870.

Comment: Price above 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Strong trend upside

Our pivot point is at 104.680

Preferable Price Action: Long position above pivot with the target at 105.390 and 105.690 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 104.000 and 103.690.

Comment: price above its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday:  Support at 0.72650

Our pivot point is at 0.72670

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 0.73303 & 0.73600 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.72020 & 0.71720 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 39.75

Preferable Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 38.75 and 39.21 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivots sell Oil with 37.55 & 37.10 as targets.

Comment: Crude above Its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday:  Bias on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1950.90

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1900.00 & 1913.00 level.

Alternative Price Action: If price gives downside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1936.30 and 1927.50.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above its 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Take support at 28,900

Our pivot point is at 28,900.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 29,500.00 & 29,800.00 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below 28,500.00 looks for further downside to 28,300.00 & 28,000.00.

Comment: Price above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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