Daily Market Outlook, 09 October, 2020

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

American major stock indices closed higher on Thursday as comments by U.S. President Donald Trump gives hopes of fresh fiscal support, while economic data shows the view that the labour market recovery was not the same as expected.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 122.05 points (0.43%) to 28,425.51, the S&P 500 gained 27.38 points (0.80%) to 3,446.83 and the Nasdaq Composite added 56.38 point (0.5%) to 11,420.98.

Asian index was set to track Wall Street gains on Friday as revived hopes for a U.S. stimulus package helped traders overlook weaker-than-expected jobs data and growing global coronavirus cases.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 0.20% to 739.50 levels. Australian index flat to 6,102.20. Japanese Nikkei fell 0.12% to 23,619.69.

European stocks were higher on Friday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index gain 0.22% to 3,262.10, Germany’s DAX rose 0.08% to 13,055.30 and France’s CAC advance 0.45% to 4,934.18 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 up 0.31% to 5,997.32.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield gained 0.22% to 0.769.

Oil prices gained on Friday, slipping at the end of a week of big gains made on the risk that supplies from Norway could be slashed by up to 25% due to a strike by oil workers.

Spot Brent crude Oil up 0.14% to $43.40 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude advance 0.10% to $41.23 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 1.00% higher to 1914.05 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar pushes toward a small weekly loss on Friday, while the Chinese yuan soared to a 17-month high, as investors wagered on a Joe Biden presidency and on more U.S. stimulus spending.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, lower 0.16% to 93.498.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair higher 0.13% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.17730. GBP/USD gained 0.25% to 1.29650.

The Japanese yen down against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday as stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY down 0.07% to 105.940 level.

Other commodity related currency higher against U.S dollar, AUD/USD advance 0.27% to 0.71850 and NZD/USD up 0.63% to 0.66130.


EUR/USD Intraday:  Support at 1.17620

Our pivot point is at 1.17620

Preferable Price Action: Take Long positions above level with targets at 1.17950 & 1.18150 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside at 1.17290 & 1.17090.

Comment: Pair above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Bias on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.29310

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 1.29800 & 1.30050 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.28830 & 1.28580.

Comment: Price above  20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Support at 105.830

Our pivot point is at 105.830

Preferable Price Action: Long position above pivot with the target at 106.150 and 106.350 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 105.520 and 105.320.

Comment: price above 55MA & 20MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday:  Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 0.71530

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 0.72090 & 0.72340 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.70970 & 0.70710 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend upside

Our pivot point is at 41.00

Preferable Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 42.00 and 42.50 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivots sell Oil with 40.00 & 39.50 as targets.

Comment: Crude above Its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Support at 1899.10

Our pivot point is at 1899.10

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1918.40 & 1927.40 level.

Alternative Price Action: If price gives downside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1880.00 and 1871.10.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above it’s 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Major Support at 28,380.00

Our pivot point is at 28,380.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 28,720.00 & 28,920.00 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below 28,380.00 looks for further downside to 28,040.00 & 27,830.00.

Comment: Price above its 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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