Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities
American stock indices surged to close higher on Wednesday as the presidential election race remained cloudy but the likelihood of gridlock in Congress made investors optimistic that major policy changes would be difficult to enact.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 371.42 points (1.35%) to 27,851.45, the S&P 500 gained 74.3 points (2.21%) to 3,443.46 and the Nasdaq Composite added 427.53 points (3.83%) to 11,588.10.
Asian share markets firmed on Thursday while bonds held big gains as investors awaited a clear result from the U.S. election, with the likely prospect of policy gridlock seemingly warmly welcomed by Wall Street overnight.
MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 1.16% to 751.50 levels. Australian index gained 1.73% to 6,139.60. Japanese market soared 1.73% to 24,105.28.
European stocks were higher on Wednesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index advance 2.01% to 3,161.07, Germany’s DAX rose 1.95% to 12,324.22 and France’s CAC gained 2.44% to 4,922.85 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 up 1.67% to 5,883.26.
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield plunged 4.36% to 0.735.
US oil prices fell in early trade on Thursday as the dollar strengthened on expectations the Republican Party would keep control of the Senate following the U.S. election, holding back any huge COVID-19 relief package.
Spot Brent crude oil fell 1.82% to $40.49 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude down 1.79% to $38.46 a barrel.
The yellow metal traded 0.77% higher to 1910.20 dollars per ounce.
Market Wrap: Forex
The dollar slipped to its weakest level in more than two years against the yuan and ground lower against other Asian currencies as Democrat Joe Biden edged ever so closer to the White House in a nail-biting U.S. presidential election.
Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, down 0.05% to 93.373.
The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair rose 0.11% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.17340.
The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY down 0.10% to 104.380 level.
Other commodity-related currency flats against U.S dollar, AUD/USD down 0.05% to 0.71710 and NZD/USD flat to 0.66950.
EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside
Our pivot point is at 1.16790
Preferable Price Action: Take Short positions below level with targets at 1.16200 & 1.15900 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside at 1.17370 & 1.17670.
Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI below 50 levels.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
GBP/USD Intraday: Bias on the upside
Our pivot point is at 1.29590
Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 1.30140 & 1.30450 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.29040 & 1.28710.
Comment: Price above 55MA & 20MA and RSI near 50 levels.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
USD/JPY Intraday: Support at 104.810
Our pivot point is at 104.810
Preferable Price Action: Short position below pivot with the target at 105.150 and 105.350 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 104.470 and 104.270.
Comment: price above 55MA & 20MA and MACD in positive territory.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
AUD/USD Intraday: Resistance at 0.71300
Our pivot point is at 0.71300
Preferable Price Action: Short positions below pivot with targets at 0.70650 & 0.70350 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside with 0.71890 & 0.72190 as targets.
Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI below 50 levels.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
CRUDEOIL Intraday: Support at 38.00
Our pivot point is at 38.00
Preferable Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 38.90 and 39.60 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: Below pivots sell Oil with 37.10 & 36.40 as targets.
Comment: Crude above Its 55MA and MACD in positive territory.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
XAU/USD Intraday: Bias on the upside
Our pivot point is at 1893.30
Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1903.80 & 1910.00 level.
Alternative Price Action: If price gives downside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1882.70 and 1876.00.
Comment: MACD in negative territory and price below its 55MA & 20MA.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced
Dow Jones Intraday: Support at 27,280.00
Our pivot point is at 27,280.00
Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 27,650.00 & 27,900.00 in extension.
Alternative Price Action: Below 27,280.00 looks for further downside to 26,890.00 & 26,630.00.
Comment: Price above its 55MA and RSI at 50 levels.
Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels
Light Blue is a Pivot Point – Black represents the price when the report was produced7