Daily Market Outlook, 01 December, 2020

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

World stock markets dipped on Monday to close a record-breaking month as the prospect of a vaccine-driven economic recovery next year and further central bank stimulus measures eclipsed immediate concerns about the spiking coronavirus pandemic.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 271.73 points (0.91%) to 29,638.64, the S&P 500 lost 16.72 points (0.46%) to 3,621.63 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 7.11 points (0.06%) to 12,198.74.

Asian stock markets faced a choppy session on Tuesday after Wall Street dipped as investors took profits at the end of a record-breaking month while still remaining upbeat about the prospect of a COVID-19 vaccine fueling gains into next year.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan jumped 1.32% to 801.60 levels. Australian index rose 1.08% to 6,588.50. Japanese Nikkei advance 1.34% to 26,787.54.

European stocks were lower on Monday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 1.00% to 3,492.54, Germany’s DAX down 0.33% to 13,291.16 and France’s CAC lose 1.42% to 5,518.55 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 1.59% to 6,266.19.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield down 0.37% to 0.839.

Oil prices slipped on Tuesday amid concerns over mounting supply after leading producers delayed talks on 2021 output policy that could extend production cuts as the coronavirus pandemic continues to sap fuel demand.

Spot Brent crude Oil lose 0.75% to $47.52 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.68% to $45.03 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 0.60% higher to 1788.30 dollar per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar was under pressure on Tuesday, after closing out its worst month since July with a little bounce and as investors reckon on even more U.S. monetary easing.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, fell 0.14% to 91.733.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair rose 0.33% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.19680.

The Japanese yen down against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY rose 0.04% to 104.310 level.

The risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars clawed back some of Monday’s losses, each rising roughly 0.30% early in the Asia session, although both remained just below milestone peaks hit a day ago.

Other commodity-related currency advance against U.S dollar, AUD/USD jump 0.30% to 0.73670 and NZD/USD rose 0.27% to 0.70360.


EUR/USD Intraday:  Bias on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.19460

Preferable Price Action: Take Long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.19760 & 1.19960 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside at 1.19145 & 1.18930.

Comment: Pair above its20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Support at 1.33550

Our pivot point is at 1.33500

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.33920 & 1.34155 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.33100 & 1.32860.

Comment: Price above 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Support at 104.265

Our pivot point is at 104.265

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above pivot with the target at 104.480 and 104.640 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 104.025 and 103.850.

Comment: price above its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Resistance at 0.73785

Our pivot point is at 0.73785

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 0.73580 & 0.73480 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for further upside with 0.73970 & 0.74085 as targets.

Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI near 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Major support at 44.75

Our pivot point is at 44.75

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 45.45 & 45.90 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 44.10 and 43.65 in extension.

Comment: Crude above 55MA & 20MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday:  Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1780.20

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1794.00 & 1803.90 level.

Alternative Price Action: If price gives downside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1765.30 and 1755.40.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Break resistance zone

Our pivot point is at 29829.05

Preferable Price Action: Take Buy positions above pivot with targets at 30,012.70 & 30,146.40 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below 29,829.05 looks for further downside to 29,647.00 & 29,498.80.00.

Comment: Price above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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