Daily Market Outlook, 28 Sep, 2023

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Stock futures were near flat Wednesday night as investors readied for the final trading days of what’s shaping up to be a weak month and quarter. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average lose 68.61 points to 33,550.27, the S&P 500 rose 0.02% to 4,274.51 and the Nasdaq Composite add 29.24 points to 13,092.85.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is decline 0.67% to 598.14 levels. The Australian index was lower by 0.08% to 7,024.80. Japanese Nikkei Index drop 1.48% today.

European stocks were negative on Thursday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 0.25% to 4,121.15, Germany’s DAX drop 0.17% to 15,191.45, and France’s CAC fell 0.07% to 7,067.12 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 subtract 0.60% to 7,547.11.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell as demand for safe assets ascend again, today 10-year bond yields positive 0.11% to 4.6360.

Oil prices ticked up in early trade on Thursday, as markets focused on supply tightness heading into winter and a ‘soft landing’ for the US economy.

Spot Brent crude oil ascend 0.02% to $94.41 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is up 0.19% to $93.86 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is advance 0.07% to 1,892.05 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

U.S. oil futures jumped to their highest in more than a year on Thursday as a drop in crude stocks in the United States added to worries over tight global supplies from OPEC+ output cuts.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which slipped 0.09% to 106.270.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is up 0.15% today. This left the pair trading around $1.05160.

The Japanese yen was negative against the U.S. dollar on Thursday. Today USD/JPY is slipped 0.15% to the 149.410 level.

Another commodity-related currency positive against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD rose 0.44% to 0.63800, and NZD/USD surged 0.41% to 0.59460 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1.05170

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot level with targets at 1.04740 & 1.04500 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside to 1.05540 & 1.05790.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels and Pairs below its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: In a consolidation zone

Our pivot point is at 1.21490

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.21070 & 1.20780 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.21880 & 1.22220.

Comment:  RSI is at 50 levels.   

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 149.430

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below pivot with the target at 149.090 and 148.900 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of the pivot would call for 149.730 and 149.950.

Comment: MACD is below 50 level and Pairs below 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Support level at 0.63670

Our pivot point is at 0.63670

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 0.63890 & 0.64050 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside with 0.63470 & 0.63320 as targets.

Comment: RSI is above 50 levels and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 93.09

Preferable Price Action: Above pivot buy oil with 94.12 & 94.83 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 92.27 and 91.59 in extension.

Comment: MACD is positive territory and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Resistance level at 33,607.00

Our pivot point is 33,607.00

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below the pivot with targets at 33,445.00 & 33,349.00.

Alternative Price Action: Above 33,607.00 looks for further upside to 33,752.00 & 33,847.00.

Comment: RSI is at 50 levels and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced