Daily Market Outlook, 14 Sep, 2023

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The S&P 500, which began rallying 11 months ago following a hotter-than-expected inflation report, is unlikely to witness a similar move in response to the recent inflation data, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 70.46 points to 34,575.53, the S&P 500 rose 0.12% to 4,467.44 and the Nasdaq Composite add 39.96 points to 13,813.53.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan is advance 0.66% to 622.39 levels. The Australian index was higher by 0.46% to 7,186.50. Japanese Nikkei Index ascend 1.52% today.

European stocks were negative on Thursday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 0.04% to 4,223.15, Germany’s DAX drop 0.10% to 15,640.25, and France’s CAC decline 0.11% to 7,214.46 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 add 0.59% to 7,570.74.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell as demand for safe assets ascend again, today 10-year bond yields positive 0.12% to 4.2530.

Oil rebounded on Thursday as expectations of a tighter global crude supply outlook for the rest of 2023 overshadowed concerns over weaker economic growth and rising U.S. inventories.

Spot Brent crude oil ascend 0.54% to $92.39 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude is up 0.59% to $89.04 a barrel.

The yellow metal gold is decline 0.20% to 1,928.55 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Thursday after U.S. inflation release, while the euro climbed from recent lows ahead of the European Central Bank’s eagerly-awaited rate-setting meeting. 

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the Greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, which slipped 0.04% to 104.350.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that is up 0.08% today. This left the pair trading around $1.07360.

The Japanese yen was negative against the U.S. dollar on Thursday. Today USD/JPY is slipped 0.12% to the 147.270 level.

Another commodity-related currency positive against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD rose 0.22% to 0.64350, and NZD/USD surged 0.10% to 0.59240 level.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1.07440

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot level with targets at 1.07260 & 1.07170 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside to 1.07600 & 1.07690.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Resistance level at 1.24990

Our pivot point is at 1.24990

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.24690 & 1.24520 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.25240 & 1.25420.

Comment:  RSI is below 50 levels and Pairs below 20MA. 

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 147.310

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below pivot with the target at 146.880 and 146.630 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of the pivot would call for 147.660 and 147.890.

Comment: MACD is below 50 level and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: In a consolidation zone

Our pivot point is at 0.64380

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 0.64180 & 0.64030 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside with 0.64560 & 0.64680 as targets.

Comment: RSI is at 50 levels and Pairs below 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Support level at 88.32

Our pivot point is at 88.32

Preferable Price Action: Above pivot buy oil with 89.05 & 89.55 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 87.59 and 87.17 in extension.

Comment: MACD is positive territory and Pairs above its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is 1909.00

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1903.50 and 1900.20.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1914.20 and 1918.30.

Comment: MACD is below 50 level and Pairs below its 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend on the downside 

Our pivot point is 34,637.00

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below the pivot with targets at 34,533.00 & 34,470.00.

Alternative Price Action: Above 34,637.00 looks for further upside to 34,736.00 & 34,814.00.

Comment: RSI is below 50 levels and Pairs below 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicate Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced