Daily Market Outlook, 12 July, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The three major US stock indexes rallied to record closing highs on Friday as financials and other economically focused sectors rebounded after a selloff sparked by growth worries earlier in the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 446.29 points (1.30%) to 34,868.22, the S&P 500 gained 48.44 points (1.12%) to 4,369.26 and the Nasdaq Composite added 139.83 points (0.96%) to 14,699.61.

Asian shares were enjoying a relief rally on Monday as record highs on Wall Street and policy easing in China helped calm some of the recent jitters on global growth, though plenty of potential pitfalls lay ahead this week.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan advance 0.73% to 857.67 levels. Australian index surged 0.83% to 7,333.50. Japanese Nikkei traded higher 2.25% to 28,569.10.

European stocks were lower on Monday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index lost 0.26% to 4,057.00, Germany’s DAX fell 0.19% to 15,658.60, and France’s CAC down 0.36% to 6,506.50, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.51% to 7,085.50.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury fell as demand for safe risk grows again, today 10-year bond yields flat to 1.333.

Crude futures slipped on Monday as concerns over slowing global growth outweighed the prospect of tightening supply after talks among key producers to raise output in coming months stalled.

Spot Brent crude oil fell 0.52% to $75.16 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude down 0.50% to $74.19 a barrel.

The yellow metal lower 0.62% to 1799.30 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

Risk currencies hovered above their recent lows against the US dollar and the yen on Monday, as fears about a slowdown in the global economic recovery appeared to have subsided for now.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, advanced 0.14% to 92.245.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that fell 0.13% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.18550.

The Japanese yen failed against the U.S. dollar on Monday as the stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY gained 0.07% to 110.200 level.

Another commodity-related currency lower against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD fell 0.25% to 0.74650, and NZD/USD slipped 0.31% to 0.69720.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.18548

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.18918 & 1.19136 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside to 1.18178 & 1.17986.

Comment: Pair above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Support at 1.38697

Our pivot point is at 1.38697

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.39220 & 1.39578 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.38144 & 1.37786.

Comment: Price above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI at 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Support at 110.031

Our pivot point is at 110.031

Preferable Price Action: Buy position above pivot with the target at 110.513 and 110.797 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of the pivot would call for 109.588 and 109.317.

Comment: price above its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Resistance at 0.74941

Our pivot point is at 0.74941

Preferable Price Action: Sell Positions below pivot with targets at 0.74343 & 0.73934 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above pivot looks for a further upside with 0.75567 & 0.75938 as targets.

Comment: Pair below its 20MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Support at 72.77

Our pivot point is at 72.77                                                                                                                                                               

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 74.62 & 75.73 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 70.82 and 69.48 in extension.

Comment: Crude is above its 55MA and MACD in the positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: In the consolidation area

Our pivot point is 1806.77

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1794.90& 1794.90.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives a upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1818.52 and 1824.87.

Comment: MACD in negative territory and price below its 20MA & 50MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 34,661.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions pivot with targets at 34,940.00 & 35,099.00.

Alternative Price Action: Below 34,661.00 looks for further downside to 34,368.00 & 34,202.00.

Comment: Price above its 55MA and RSI at 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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