Daily Market Outlook, 05 July, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Wall Street scaled new highs on Friday, with the S&P closing up for a seventh straight day, after jobs data for June showed robust hiring yet persistent weakness in the labor market that will keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates any time soon.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 152.82 points (0.44%) to 34,786.35, the S&P 500 gained 32.40 points (0.75%) to 4,352.34 and the Nasdaq Composite added 116.95 points (0.81%) to 14,639.33.

Most Asian stocks gained on Monday, extending the rally that took global equities to a record high after a U.S. jobs report signaled the economic recovery remained intact but didn’t yet warrant any immediate withdrawal of Federal Reserve stimulus.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.05% to 874.41 levels. Australian index rose 0.10% to 7,315.00. Japanese Nikkei traded lower 0.64% to 28,598.20.

European stocks were lower on Monday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index fell 0.58% to 4,060.38, Germany’s DAX lost 0.61% to 15,.30, and France’s CAC slipped 0.18% to 6,540.80, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 advance 0.05% to 7,127.26.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose as demand for safe risk grows again, today 10-year bond yields slipped 0.10% to 1.431.

Brent oil was steady near $76 a barrel at the open in Asia ahead of another round of critical OPEC+ talks slated for later Monday to break a stalemate over raising production.

Spot Brent crude oil rose 0.16% to $76.28 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude advance 0.16% to $75.28 a barrel.

The yellow metal higher 0.53% to 1792.30 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar took a breather on Monday, after recent gains ran into a speed bump when details of last week’s U.S. jobs report soothed jitters about the timing of U.S. interest rate hikes.

Today, the U.S. dollar index measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, down 0.22% to 92.207.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that gained 0.05% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.18690.

The Japanese yen gained against the U.S. dollar on Monday as the stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY lost 0.15% to 111.860 level.

Another commodity-related currency higher against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD up 0.11% to 0.75320, and NZD/USD flat to 0.70260.


EUR/USD Intraday: Break resistance level

Our pivot point is at 1.18520

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.18870 & 1.19040 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside to 1.18140 & 1.17970.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 1.38180

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.38680 & 1.38940 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.37720 & 1.37440.

Comment: Price above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI at overbought levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 111.240

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below pivot with the target at 110.840 and 110.590 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of the pivot would call for 111.610 and 110.860.

Comment: price below its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Support at 0.75110

Our pivot point is at 0.75110

Preferable Price Action: Buy Positions above pivot with targets at 0.75410 & 0.75550 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for a further downside with 0.74800 & 0.74640 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is at 74.37

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 75.84 & 76.53 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 72.77 and 72.07 in extension.

Comment: Crude is above its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in the positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Support at 1785.60

Our pivot point is 1784.60

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1797.00 & 1803.00.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives a downside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1771.50 and 1765.60.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above its 20MA & 50MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Strong Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 34,624.00

Preferable Price Action: Take Buy positions below pivot with targets at 34,808.00 & 34,890.00.

Alternative Price Action: Below 34,624.00 looks for further downside to 34,442.00 & 34,350.00.

Comment: Price above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI at 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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