Daily Market Outlook, 20 May, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

Wall Street’s main indexes closed lower on Wednesday after minutes from an April Federal Reserve meeting showed participants agreed the U.S. economy remained far from the central bank’s goals, with some considering discussions on tapering its bond-buying program.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 164.62 points (0.48%) to 33,896.04, the S&P 500 lost 12.15 points (0.29%) to 4,115.68 and the Nasdaq Composite FLAT to 13,299.74.

Asian markets were mixed in Thursday with data showing Japan’s exports surging to the highest in the last ten years in April.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.29% to 860.63 levels. Australian index surged 1.27% to 7,019.60. Japanese Nikkei traded 0.19% higher to 28,098.25.

European stocks were mixed on Thursday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index rose 0.28% to 3,947.80, Germany’s DAX gained 0.18% to 15,139.50 and France’s CAC higher 0.34% to 6,284.15, and U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 0.19% to 6,936.95.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury rose as demand for safe assets grows again, today 10-year bond yields slumped 1.42% to 1.659.

Oil prices steadied on Thursday after a two-day slump, reflecting the world’s mixed economic recovery from the pandemic, with U.S. demand expected to keep rising, while a second coronavirus wave raging in India has led to more curbs on movement.

Spot Brent crude oil lower 1.95% to $67.35 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.70% to $62.27 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded lower 0.70% to 1868.30 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Thursday but remained well above three-month lows hit overnight after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting revealed there was more talk of tapering its bond purchases than investors had expected.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, lowers 0.11% to 90.090.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) is a widely traded pair that gained 0.12% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.21850.

The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as the stock pushes lower. Today US/JPY fell 0.22% to 108.960 level.

Another commodity-related currency higher against the U.S dollar, AUD/USD up 0.21% to 0.77410, and NZD/USD higher 0.10% to 0.71740.


EUR/USD Intraday: Support at 1.21750

Our pivot point is at 1.21750

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.22200 & 1.22400 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside to 1.21300 & 1.21100.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Trend on the downside

Our pivot point is at 1.41620

Preferable Price Action: Sell positions below pivot with targets at 1.41050 & 1.40800 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price above pivot would call for further upside to 1.42150 & 1.42400.

Comment: Price below its 55MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Resistance at 109.190

Our pivot point is at 109.190

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below with the target at 108.850 and 108.660 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of pivot would call for 109.540 and 109.730.

Comment: price below its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: In consolidation zone

Our pivot point is at 0.77330

Preferable Price Action: Buy Positions above pivot with targets at 0.77680 & 0.77900 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.76980 & 0.76760 as targets.

Comment: Pair above its 20MA & 55MA and RSI at 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend downside

Our pivot point is at 64.00

Preferable Price Action: Below pivots sell Oil with 61.70 & 60.70 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 66.20 and 67.20 in extension.

Comment: Crude is below its 55MA & 20MA and MACD in the negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Trend on the upside

Our pivot point is 1866.40

Preferable Price Action: Further upside to 1877.30 & 1884.00.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives a downside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1855.50 and 1848.50.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above its 55MA & 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend downside

Our pivot point is 33.860.00

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot with targets at 33,620.00 & 33,490.00.

Alternative Price Action: Above 33,860.00 looks for further upside to 34,100.00 & 34,230.00.

Comment: Price below 20MA & 55MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

Leave a Reply