Daily Market Outlook, 25 January, 2021

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs on Thursday, propelled by optimism about more pandemic relief under the Biden administration to support the economy after data showed a tepid labor market recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 12.37 points (0.04%) to 31,176.01, the S&P 500 gained 1.22 points (0.03%) to 3,853.07 and the Nasdaq Composite added 73.67 points (0.55%) to 13,530.92.

Asian shares eased from record highs on Friday as investors took some money off the table after a recent rally that was driven by hopes a massive U.S. economic stimulus plan by incoming President Joe Biden will help temper the COVID-19 impact.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.91% to 920.80 levels. Australian index lost 0.34% to 6,800.40. Japanese Nikkei traded 0.44% lower to 28,631.45.

European stocks were declined on Friday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index down 1.26% to 3,572.32, Germany’s DAX slumped 1.10% to 13,754.00 and France’s CAC fell 1.36% to 5,514.70 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 down 0.89% to 6,655.25.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury down as demand for risky asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield down 1.02% to 1.096.

Oil prices dropped on Friday, retreating further from the 11-month highs hit last week, weighed down by worries that new pandemic restrictions in China will curb fuel demand in the world’s biggest oil importer.

Spot Brent crude oil fell 2.21% to $54.84 per barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude down 2.56% to $51.77 a barrel.

The yellow metal traded 1.10% lower to 1847.70 dollars per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

The dollar was headed for its worst week of the year on Friday, as investors cheered in the Joe Biden administration by buying riskier currencies and refreshed bets that a pandemic recovery could push the greenback lower still.

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, higher 0.05% to 90.150.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair gained 0.15% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.21810.

The Japanese yen down against the U.S. dollar on Friday as the stock pushes lower. Today US/JPY rose 0.20% to 103.670 level.

Other commodity-related currency lower against U.S dollar, AUD/USD lost 0.68% to 0.77100 and NZD/USD lost 0.48% to 0.71770.


EUR/USD Intraday:  Trend upside

Our pivot point is at 1.21670

Preferable Price Action: Take Long positions above pivot level with targets at 1.21940 & 1.22140 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside at 1.21400 & 1.21200.

Comment: Pair above its 55MA & 20MA and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday:  Trend upside

Our pivot point is at 1.36820

Preferable Price Action: Buy positions above pivot with targets at 1.37500 & 1.37860 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.36180 & 1.35820.

Comment: Price below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI at oversold levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


USD/JPY Intraday: Bias on the downside

Our pivot point is at 103.840

Preferable Price Action: Sell position below with the target at 103.550 and 103.370 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The upside breakout of pivot would call for 104.140 and 104.300.

Comment: price above  20MA & 55MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday:  Trend upside

Our pivot point is at 0.77220

Preferable Price Action: Buy Positions above pivot with targets at 0.77600 & 0.77830 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.76830 & 0.76600as targets.

Comment: Pair below its 55MA & 20MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend upside

Our pivot point is at 51.95

Preferable Price Action: Above pivots buy Oil with 52.80 & 53.40 as targets.

Alternative Price Action: Sell crude below pivot with targets at 51.10 and 50.50 in extension.

Comment: Crude below its 20MA & 55MA and MACD in negative territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday:  Resistance at 1857.10 

Our pivot point is at 1857.10

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1846.30 & 1835.80.

Alternative Price Action: If the price gives an upside breakout of a pivot, then the price extends to 1871.20 and 1878.50.

Comment: MACD in positive territory and price above 55MA & 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Trend upside

Our pivot point is 31,040.00

Preferable Price Action: Take buy positions above pivot with targets at 31,200.00 & 31,300.00 extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below 31,040.00 looks for further downside to 30,880.00 & 30,780.00.

Comment: Price below its 20MA & 55MA and RSI below 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced7

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