Daily Market Outlook, 01 May, 2020

Market Wrap: Stocks, Bonds, Commodities

US stocks surged on Wednesday as hopes for an effective COVID-19 treatment prompted a broad rally and helped investors shrug off bleak GDP data and words of warning from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 532.31 points (2.21%) to 24,633.86, the S&P 500 gained 2.63%, to 2,939.40 and the Nasdaq Composite soared 306.98 points (3.57%) to 8,914.50.

The US economy shrank at a 4.8% annual rate last quarter as the coronavirus pandemic shut down much of the country and began triggering a recession that will end the longest expansion on record.

U.S. Federal Reserve wrapped up its two-day monetary policy meeting, leaving key interest rates near zero and vowing to use a “full range” of its tools to aid the economy in the face of a pandemic that poses “considerable” medium-term risks.

Asian equity markets were poised to gain on Thursday, tracking Wall Street’s rally after positive trial results of an experimental COVID-19 treatment, a US Federal Reserve pledged to shore up the economy and a jump in oil prices.

MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 1.20% to 611.70 levels. Australian index rose 2.69% to 5,538.20. Japan Nikkei higher 2.32% to 20,229.50.

European stocks were higher on Tuesday, with the Stoxx Europe 50 Index advanced 2.18% to 2,996.08, Germany’s DAX rose 2.89% to 11,107.74 and France’s CAC up 2.22% to 4,671.11 and U.K.’s FTSE 100 higher 2.63% to 6,115.25.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury advanced as demand for safe asset grow again, today 10-year bond yield lower 2.56% to 0.611.

Brent crude oil rose 8.34% to $26.600 per barrel. while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude soared 15.14% to $19.28 per barrel.

Today, The Yellow metal price rose 1.00% to $1714 per ounce.

Market Wrap: Forex

Today, the U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, down 0.10% to 99.560.

The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) widely traded pair lower by 0.10% today. This left the pairing trading around $1.08660.

The Japanese yen rose against the U.S. dollar on Thursday as stock pushes higher. Today US/JPY lower 0.21% to 106.470 level.

Other commodity-related currency broadly edged higher against U.S dollar, AUD/USD rose 0.20% to 0.65670 and NZD/USD higher 0.30% to 0.61490.


EUR/USD Intraday: Trend Upside

Our pivot point is at 1.09380

Preferable Price Action: Take long positions above pivot level with targets at 109965  & 1.10304 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside at 1.08842 & 1.08489.

Comment: pair above 20MA & 55MA and MACD in positive territory.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


GBP/USD Intraday: Support at 1.24550

Our pivot point is at 1.25300

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 1.26002 & 1.26338 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Price below pivot would call for further downside to 1.24613 & 1.24285.

Comment: The RSI indicator above 50 levels and pair above 50MA & 20MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


JPY/USD Intraday: Trend downside

Our pivot point is at 106.800

Preferable Price Action: Long position above pivot with the target at 107.363 and 107.704 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: The downside breakout of pivot would call for 106.268 and 105.942.

Comment: Pair below 20MA & 55MA and RSI at oversold level.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 

Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


AUD/USD Intraday: Bias on the upside

Our pivot point is at 0.64300

Preferable Price Action: Long positions above pivot with targets at 0.64945 & 0.65294 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivot looks for further downside with 0.63715 & 0.63375 as targets.

Comment: MACD in the positive zone and RSI above 50 levels.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


CRUDEOIL Intraday: Trend Upside

Our pivot point is at 19.50

Preferable Price Action: Buy crude above pivot with targets at 21.62 and 22.65 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Below pivots sell Oil with 17.35 & 16.32 as targets.

Comment: MACD in the positive zone and RSI above 50 level mark.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


XAU/USD Intraday: Intraday positive bias

Our pivot point is at 1682.00 

Preferable Price Action: Further downside to 1668.07 & 1660.70 level.

Alternative Price Action: If price gives upside breakout of a pivot, then price extends to 1696.55 and 1704.38.

Comment: RSI above 50 level mark and price above 20MA & 55MA.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced


Dow Jones Intraday: Support at 24,600

Our pivot point is at 24150.00

Preferable Price Action: Take sell positions below pivot with targets at 23652.28 & 23304.50 in extension.

Alternative Price Action: Above 24150.00 looks for further upside to 24636.49 & 24949.49.

Comment: Index above 20MA & 55MA and also MACD in positive side.

Green Lines Indicate Resistance Levels  – Red Lines Indicates Support Levels 
Light Blue is a Pivot Point   – Black represents the price when the report was produced

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